Why buy a 10-year CD?

November 1, 2007 on 12:16 pm | In Economy, Articles, Long-term CDs |

Many people out there question the logic of buying 10-year CDs.? And it is smart to question.? Let’s examine some historical data and pose some reasons for and against.? You can then make up your own mind.

Reasons for:

I?want a stable, decent rate of return.

What is a decent return?? Since 1992, the 15-year average rate on 3-month T-Bills has been 3.86%.? For 6-months, it has been 3.97%.? For 3-month 2nd Market CDs it was 4.24% and for 6-months it was 4.34%.??You can view this data and more?here.

Our database goes back to 1993.? The average 6-month rate as of 7/31/07?was 4.401%.? The average 5-year?was 5.405%.? So somewhat recent history would imply that a 5.70% for 10-years is decent and stable.

I?have a well balanced and laddered portfolio.

If you don’t have all of your eggs in one basket that is a good sign.? What the various baskets are, is based on your risk tolerance, goals, age, etc.? When it comes to laddered portfolios, if you have funds coming due in the next 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, etc. you are well protected on that front.? If rates go up, you can take advantage of those as your funds become available.? If rates go down or hold, you have some funds on the longer end that are protected with a nice rate.? But trying to time things is very difficult.? Historical information is just good as a guide; it provides no guarantees of what the future will hold.

Reasons not to:

This is the only money I have.

Putting all of your money in any one investment vehicle isn’t prudent.? So if $100,000 is all you have, putting it in a 10-year CD wouldn’t be advisable.? If you are in your later years, and principal preservation is your goal, taking that $100,000 and putting some in savings to cover emergency needs and then ladder the rest would be a good plan.?

I’ll be buying a house, sending children to college, etc.

When is the big question here.? If you plan on having any major expenses in the next 10-years, and you don’t have a very high reasonable expectation of having other means to cover them, don’t do a 10-year CD.? Most longer-term CDs have a large penalty to close early and you don’t want to be in a situation where you have to break?the CD.? But, try to strategize (on the conservative side) when you will need the funds.? Then ladder your investments out across different maturities.? When each maturity comes up, reassess to see if you can maintain the maximum term you have set-up.

For instance, you set-up a ladder that has funds coming due every 6-months and the longest maturity is in two years.? When the first funds become available, determine?when you will need them.? If the funds will be needed in the very near future, move them to a high yielding savings accout, if not invest in the term that fits your situation, eg., a 1-year, 2-year or even longer term CD.

cd :O)

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  1. […] Why buy a 10-year CD? @ Jumbo CD Investments — My short attention span would never allow me to invest in 10-year CD, but this is a great primer post. […]

    Pingback by Moolanomy weekly roundup #15: ?Habits? edition | Moolanomy — November 4, 2007 #

  2. […] You may find my post on 10-year CDs of interest.? For some other places to read, check out Bloomberg or WesCorp. […]

    Pingback by Jumbo CD Investments - CD Rates Blog » Lots of Turmoil Today — January 8, 2008 #

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